Do Managers Learn from Institutional Investors through Direct Interactions? (Solo-authored)
Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2023
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Investor Uncertainty and Voluntary Disclosure. (With Luzi Hail and Clare Wang)
We examine whether managers respond to unexpected increases in investor uncertainty by accelerating the release of relevant information. If managers possess firm-specific information that could help resolve uncertainty among investors, we expect them to release it in a timely manner, independent of the nature of the news. Using a global panel containing observations from 33 countries over the 2004 to 2019 period, we find evidence consistent with this prediction. We identify unexpected increases in investor uncertainty by extreme stock price movements and show that firms are both more likely to issue voluntary disclosure and timelier in doing so after such shocks. The results are stronger when managers are likely endowed with more private information but mitigated or even opposite when the sources of investor uncertainty are macroeconomic rather than firm-specific factors. The voluntary disclosure following information shocks contains more verifiable, financial information and is more value relevant to investors as measured by absolute announcement returns and (abnormal) trading volume. Overall, our findings suggest that management responds to increased demand for information in times of investor uncertainty.
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Beyond Old Boys’ Clubs: Financial Analysts' Utilization of Professional Connections. (With Mengqiao Du)
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The Cost of Regulatory Inaction: Evidence from IFRS Non-Adoption. (With Miao Liu and Wanrong Xu)
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The Risk Sharing Value of Disclosure: A Real-time Market Response Approach to Hedge Climate Change Risk. (With Yang Cao and Miao Liu)
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​Risk sharing is a fundamental function of financial markets. Can corporate disclosures enhance investors’ ability to share risks, especially in areas where conventional financial products like insurance and derivative contracts are absent? In this study, we apply a novel methodology to information disclosed during earnings calls and construct hedging portfolios that help investors manage and share risks associated with climate change. Leveraging recent advancements in large language models, we utilize ChatGPT-4 to identify climate-related conversations during earnings calls and connect these time-stamped transcripts with high-frequency stock price data pinpointed to the conversation level. We assess a company’s dynamic exposure to climate change risks by analyzing real-time stock price responses to climate discussions between managers and analysts. Our approach relies on 1) the incidence of climate issues as salient topics that warrant conference call discussions and 2) the direction and magnitude of investors’ real-time responses to these conversations, effectively capturing both time-series and cross-sectional variations in stocks’ evolving climate exposures. Our proposed portfolios, constructed by taking long (short) positions in stocks with positive (negative) market responses to climate conversations, appreciate in value during future periods with negative aggregate climate news shocks, thereby enabling investors to effectively share and hedge climate-related risks. Additionally, we showcase the versatility of our approach in hedging other types of emerging risks: namely political risk and pandemic risk.
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